Early Season Snowfall Possible in Middle Georgia


MACON, Georgia (41NBC/WMGT) – Early season snowfall is possible in Middle Georgia this week, but first comes the continuation of rain.

A stream of moisture continues to surge through the southeast after a cold front moved through Tuesday afternoon. That front has since stalled out over central Florida as a secondary front forms to the north. Therefore, the only path the rain can take is through central Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina.

Behind the cold front lies drier, colder air. As the front moves into the southeast, it will clip some of the moisture allowing for rain to transition to snow. However, there are still a lot of inconsistencies between the models as to when the transition occurs and where.

As of Thursday morning, one model – RPM – was showing some rain/snow mix as early as Friday afternoon in the northern part of Middle Georgia.

Meanwhile, another model – GFS – was showing rain across Middle Georgia Friday afternoon and the mix of snow farther north into metro-Atlanta.

The GFS showed the transition of rain to snow occurring in Middle Georgia Saturday morning.

At the same time, the European model showed the rain/snow mix in west central Georgia Saturday morning.

This forecast is a tough one to put together. It is very dependent on when the colder air moves into Middle Georgia and how much moisture is left in the atmosphere to create the change over from rain to snow.

The highest snowfall totals are most likely to occur around metro-Atlanta and just south of the city. Northern towns in Middle Georgia could pick up a quarter of an inch of snow on wet and elevated surfaces.

Locations as far south as Dublin could see some flurries, though only a dusting is possible. Any moisture leftover on the roadways early Saturday morning could also lead to the formation of black ice, which would create hazardous travel conditions.

Any snow that we do see won’t last long. Temperatures are expected to reach the mid-40’s Saturday afternoon.

Once again, this forecast is likely to change. Stay with 41NBC and the 41First Alert Storm Team for the very latest.

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  Kristen Kennedy joined the 41NBC First Alert Storm Team in May 2016. Kristen is not new to the state of Georgia - she was born and raised in Roswell, just north of Atlanta. Kristen developed a passion for weather at an early age - as early as the third grade! Her excitement and interest in meteorology continued throughout her years of higher education. Kristen graduated Summa Cum Laude from Mississippi State University, where she earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Geosciences, concentrating in Professional Meteorology with Broadcast Emphasis. She also has a minor in Broadcast Communications. In college, Kristen was a member of the broadcast meteorology program's Campus Connect Forecast where she produced and recorded forecasts weekly, reported weather hits for radio, wrote forecast updates for the student newspaper and worked extensively on social media. She also won 2nd Place in the College Mississippi Associated Press Broadcasters awards banquet for the Best College Weathercast. Aside from her time forecasting the weather in college, Kristen also interned at WSB-TV, a local news station in Atlanta, during the summer of 2015. When she's not monitoring weather conditions, Kristen is probably talking or watching sports. She grew up watching her brothers play and even got involved in a few sports herself. Kristen loves college football, though she is biased towards the SEC. She notes that Saturdays down south in the fall are arguably some of the best days of the year. She has always been an Atlanta Braves fan, and she also enjoys watching the Atlanta Falcons and the Atlanta Hawks battle it out against their opponents. Kristen also loves the outdoors and exploring new locations to hammock with a view. She constantly has an eye to the sky, and eagerly awaits sunset each day - hoping for a colorful sky to capture with her camera. She is excited to finally experience some beautiful sunrises now that she's working the morning side of the day. You can catch Kristen's forecasts daily on 41 Daybreak from 5-7 AM and on 41 Today at 11 AM.