Florence forecast to stall over Carolinas as stationary front blocks movement


MACON, Georgia. (41NBC/WMGT) – Hurricane Florence remains a strong Category 4 hurricane Tuesday morning with sustained winds of 140 mph. The 5 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center detailed Florence’s strength and location, about 400 miles away from the island of Bermuda.

Florence’s forecast cone for the next 48 hours has narrowed, indicating high confidence in the forecast track. The cone expands as Florence is forecast to make landfall late Thursday night into Friday morning along the coastal Carolina’s. A wider area will be impacted as Florence moves inland.

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Following landfall at the end of the work week, Florence will slowly move inland and weaken. The reason why this massive hurricane will be so slow moving is due to a stalled front draped along the east coast.

A stationary front will block Hurricane Florence from travelling farther west/northwest. This pattern will lead to catastrophic conditions in South and North Carolina as well as Virginia.

Not only will hurricane force winds be a major concern along the coastal locations, but flooding rains will also be a high risk.

Rainfall totals could range anywhere from 9-20 inches within a matter of days. Higher amounts are possible, too.

No weather impacts are expected in Georgia, though if the tropical system bounces farther south then we could be dealing with a much different forecast.

For now, though, that does not seem to be the case. Isolated showers and storms will be possible daily in Middle Georgia as the stationary front keeps moisture locked in across the Deep South.

Temperatures will hover around the middle 90’s through the next 7 days.

One impact Hurricane Florence may have on the state of Georgia is an influx of evacuees seeking shelter from the storms. You can read more about how Macon-Bibb’s EMA is preparing to provide shelter for evacuees in the area here.

Connect with Meteorologist Kristen Kennedy on Facebook and Twitter for weather updates throughout the day. You can also watch her forecasts Monday through Friday on 41NBC News at Daybreak (5-7 a.m.) and 41Today (11 a.m.).