Florence forecast to stall over Carolinas as stationary front blocks movement

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MACON, Georgia. (41NBC/WMGT) – Hurricane Florence remains a strong Category 4 hurricane Tuesday morning with sustained winds of 140 mph. The 5 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center detailed Florence’s strength and location, about 400 miles away from the island of Bermuda.

Florence’s forecast cone for the next 48 hours has narrowed, indicating high confidence in the forecast track. The cone expands as Florence is forecast to make landfall late Thursday night into Friday morning along the coastal Carolina’s. A wider area will be impacted as Florence moves inland.

Following landfall at the end of the work week, Florence will slowly move inland and weaken. The reason why this massive hurricane will be so slow moving is due to a stalled front draped along the east coast.

A stationary front will block Hurricane Florence from travelling farther west/northwest. This pattern will lead to catastrophic conditions in South and North Carolina as well as Virginia.

Not only will hurricane force winds be a major concern along the coastal locations, but flooding rains will also be a high risk.

Rainfall totals could range anywhere from 9-20 inches within a matter of days. Higher amounts are possible, too.

No weather impacts are expected in Georgia, though if the tropical system bounces farther south then we could be dealing with a much different forecast.

For now, though, that does not seem to be the case. Isolated showers and storms will be possible daily in Middle Georgia as the stationary front keeps moisture locked in across the Deep South.

Temperatures will hover around the middle 90’s through the next 7 days.

One impact Hurricane Florence may have on the state of Georgia is an influx of evacuees seeking shelter from the storms. You can read more about how Macon-Bibb’s EMA is preparing to provide shelter for evacuees in the area here.

Connect with Meteorologist Kristen Kennedy on Facebook and Twitter for weather updates throughout the day. You can also watch her forecasts Monday through Friday on 41NBC News at Daybreak (5-7 a.m.) and 41Today (11 a.m.).

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  Kristen Kennedy joined the 41NBC First Alert Storm Team in May 2016. Kristen is not new to the state of Georgia - she was born and raised in Roswell, just north of Atlanta. Kristen developed a passion for weather at an early age - as early as the third grade! Her excitement and interest in meteorology continued throughout her years of higher education. Kristen graduated Summa Cum Laude from Mississippi State University, where she earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Geosciences, concentrating in Professional Meteorology with Broadcast Emphasis. She also has a minor in Broadcast Communications. In college, Kristen was a member of the broadcast meteorology program's Campus Connect Forecast where she produced and recorded forecasts weekly, reported weather hits for radio, wrote forecast updates for the student newspaper and worked extensively on social media. She also won 2nd Place in the College Mississippi Associated Press Broadcasters awards banquet for the Best College Weathercast. Aside from her time forecasting the weather in college, Kristen also interned at WSB-TV, a local news station in Atlanta, during the summer of 2015. When she's not monitoring weather conditions, Kristen is probably talking or watching sports. She grew up watching her brothers play and even got involved in a few sports herself. Kristen loves college football, though she is biased towards the SEC. She notes that Saturdays down south in the fall are arguably some of the best days of the year. She has always been an Atlanta Braves fan, and she also enjoys watching the Atlanta Falcons and the Atlanta Hawks battle it out against their opponents. Kristen also loves the outdoors and exploring new locations to hammock with a view. She constantly has an eye to the sky, and eagerly awaits sunset each day - hoping for a colorful sky to capture with her camera. She is excited to finally experience some beautiful sunrises now that she's working the morning side of the day. You can catch Kristen's forecasts daily on 41 Daybreak from 5-7 AM and on 41 Today at 11 AM.