Tropical Storm Barry likely to form in the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday

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Storms once again brought some much needed rain to parts of Middle Georgia, as well as frequent lightning and some breezy conditions. Through the week we will continue to see scattered storms, mainly during the afternoon hours. Heat will also continue without much change to the forecast through the weekend.

Attention then turns to the Gulf of Mexico, where an area of low pressure that has been in Middle Georgia will push into very warm waters. This will help to allow the system to get fueled and likely become a Tropical Storm within the next few days.

The National Hurricane Center gives the system, formally known as Invest 92L, a 90% chance of becoming a tropical storm by Thursday.

As far as the path is concerned, most weather models bring the center of circulation through parts of Louisiana, Texas, or Mississippi. There are still many questions on exact path as well as intensity, but we are watching it very closely.

A main concern, regardless of wind speed, will be heavy rain. The graphic above shows the potential of this system to bring heavy, flooding rains to parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas.

Timing right now would have this impacting this area by Saturday. The latest models have very little impact from the storm to Middle Georgia, but changes to the forecast are likely through the week.

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Cecilia Reeves joined the 41 First Alert Storm Team as Chief Meteorologist in August of 2016.  She grew up just north of Macon, in McDonough, GA but attended the University of Alabama and received an undergraduate degree in Telecommunications and Film with a concentration in Broadcast Journalism.  Upon graduation in Tuscaloosa, she traveled up to road to Starkville, MS where she received a Masters of Science in Broadcast Meteorology.  In her career she has worked on the West Coast, in the Midwest, and now back home in the Southeast.  When she is not forecasting she enjoys training Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, cheering on her teams (Alabama Crimson Tide, Atlanta Falcons, and the Kansas City Royals), and playing with her dogs: Dora and Winston.